Mma leverage

UFC 141 will take place on friday December 30th, in Las Vegas, Nevada. The main event will be for the number-one contender in the Heavyweight division between the former UFC Heavyweight champion, Brock Lesnar and the former Strikeforce and Dream Heavyweight champion, Alistair Overeem.

 

Nam Phan (17-9) vs. Jimy Hettes (9-0) Featherweight

The one huge advantage that i see in this fight is the striking of Nam Phan. Phan has the best left hook to the body in my opinion, finishing fighters like Mike Budnik, Cody McKenzie with that crippling shot. The strength of Jimy Hettes is his Jiu Jitsu. Hettes has finish all of his fights by submission. Hettes has not faced anyone with an accomplished Jiu Jitsu background that could challenge or avoid his submission game. With a black belt in Jiu Jitsu, Nam Phan will be more than comfortable on the ground, but an obvious tactic would be keeping the fight on the feet.

Phan via KO 1st round

 

Vladimir Matyushenko(26-5) vs. Alexander Gustafsson(12-1) Light Heavyweight

This is a perfect example of a veteran fighter, versus a young fighter. Vladimir Matyushenko is a fourteen year MMA veteran with victories over Pedro Rizzo, Tim Boetsch, Antonio Rogerio Nogueira and Igor Pokrajac. Gustafsson is a true up and comer, with a four-and-one record in the UFC and a diverse set of skills displayed on fighters like Matt Hamill, Jared Hamman and James Te-Huna.

Both fighters have knockout power, but Gustafsson is much quicker and younger than the forty year old Matyushenko. Gustafsson has good Jiu Jitsu and boxing, but Matyushenko relies on heavy punches and excellent wrestling. I really can’t see this fight going the distance, but crazier things have happened.

Gustafsson via 2nd round TKO  

  

  

  Jon Fitch(23-3-1) vs. Johny Hendricks(11-1) Welterweight

There is no doubt that both of these fighters are outstanding wrestlers that can dictate where the fight goes. With that being said, this may turn into a kickboxing match early, until someone get tired or finds a weakness in the takedown defense.

Jon Fitch is a former welterweight number-one contender, with a 13-1-1 record in the octagon. The one flaw in Fitch is his inability to finish a fight, with his last nine fights ending by decision.

The former oklahoma state wrestler, Johny Hendricks, has collected a 6-1 record in the UFC and has finally reached the top ten welterweights in the world after defeating Mike Pierce at UFC 133. Hendricks displays knockout power in both hands, followed by an excellent wrestling game that has stumped every opponent in his way.

The big question in this fight is, if Hendricks is a better MMA wrester than Fitch. Hendricks is a higher caliber wrestler, but Fitch is a more expirienced MMA wrestler, by using the cage and short strikes to set-up the takedown.

I believe that experience will make the difference in this very competitive welterweight bout.

Fitch via Unanimous decision 29-28

 

  

  Nate Diaz(14-7) vs. Donald Cerrone(17-3) Lightweight

With both fighters coming off first round submission finishes, many believe this fight isn’t going the distance.

With a successful WEC career (6-3 1NC) “including two title fights”, Donald Cerrone moved to the UFC in February 2011. After defeating Dennis Siver via submission (Rear Naked Choke), Cerrone is now riding a 4-0 UFC record and maybe one fight away from his first UFC title fight.

Nate Diaz is the TUF 5 winner, and will be making his fifthteenth octagon appearance. With great boxing and excellent Jiu Jitsu, has become a major threat in the Lightweight division, with wins over Melvin Guillard, Marcus Davis and Takanori Gomi.

If you look at the losses of Nate Diaz, he has been dominated by fighters that deploy their wrestling game and survived the submissions of Diaz.

Cerrone is mostly a kickboxer that isn’t afraid to grapple, but has shown problems submitting from the top position. If Cerrone keeps it standing, i think he will have the advantage.

Expect lots of trash talking by Diaz, maybe Cerrone. Either way, this is gonna be a war.

Diaz via submission (Guillotine choke) 2nd round

 

 

 

 Brock Lesnar(5-2) vs. Alistair Overeem(35-11 1NC) Heavyweight

The Heavyweight number-one contender fight couldn’t be any bigger, with the return of the former heavyweight champion, Brock Lesnar, and the former Strikeforce and Dream Heavyweight champion, Alistair Overeem.

 

                               Brock Lesnar     –   Alistair Overeem

        Striking-                                                       *

           Clinch-                  *

     Grappling-                  *

Submissions-                                                      *

          Cardio-                  *

 

The last time Lesnar appeared in the octagon, he faced Cain Velasquez for his third title defense, but came up short in a first round TKO. that was over fourteen months ago. Lesnar’s long lay-off was due to his recurring Diverticulitis that resulted in him losing twelve inches of his colon. Lesnar says that he is one-hundred percent and is ready for Overeem.

Alistair Overeem is a twelve year MMA veteran, with thirty-five professional victories and is now making his UFC debut. Overeem is also a former K-1 kickboxing champion with brutal and accurate knockout power in both hands and knees. Even with all of the striking experience, Overeem has finished a majority of his fights by submission.

If Overeem can avoid the takedowns of Lesnar, this will be an easy night for him.

 

Lesnar via 2nd round TKO

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PredictionsUFC 141, Predictions, Nam Phan, Jimy Hettes

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